A conundrum for y'all

[Zundfolge]

http://d24w6bsrhbeh9d.cloudfront.net/photo/a2NWpwe_460s_v1.jpg

[thvigil11]

Red button, no hesitation.

[Irving]

Red for me, green for my wife.

[Zundfolge]

Red button, no hesitation.

For me it would be red button, but boy there'd be a lot of hesitation, head rubbing, rumination and agonizing. My hand would hover over that green button for several minutes before it came down on the red one.

[nynco]

Red and try to use that 1 million to make 100m

[Ripper]

Red - bam!

[Rabid]

Green for me. Not because i like to gamble but rather it would be a bonus if i won and a "oh well" if i lost.

[UncleDave]

I'm a born gambler. You have to roll the dice.

[RblDiver]

Green for me. Not because i like to gamble but rather it would be a bonus if i won and a "oh well" if i lost.

+1. Even if I lose, I'm no worse off than I was.

[Logan]

Red. A million bucks is hand is better than 100 million in the bush.

[Irving]

If you know how, you have better than a 50% chance to get to 100 mil from 1 mil.

[hatidua]

Reminds me too much of the button they make you push in the customs area of Mexican airports: I'm pretty sure there's someone in a room behind a mirror that always picks me to have my bags tossed so I'd have to go with the red one, I don't win things enough to bank on green.

[Zundfolge]

I don't buy lottery tickets because when I don't win I feel real stupid and I start obsessively thinking about all the different things I could have bought with the $2.

I can't imagine how my mind would react to hitting the green button and bringing up zeros.



If you know how, you have better than a 50% chance to get to 100 mil from 1 mil.
Good point ... and even if you don't make the full 100 from the 1, if you "only" make 80 you're still way ahead.

[muddywings]

red-no hesitation.
<<<<<has worse luck ever so 50/50 is really like 0 for me. I have even had friends and coworkers joke about my horrible luck.

[Robb]

"For me it would be red button, but boy there'd be a lot of hesitation, head rubbing, rumination and agonizing. My hand would hover over that green button for several minutes before it came down on the red one."

Absolutely the same for me.

[buffalobo]

red-no hesitation.
<<<<<has worse luck ever so 50/50 is really like 0 for me. I have even had friends and coworkers joke about my horrible luck.

^^^^This. When they were younger the kids said they would not stand near me if we had to be outside during a thunderstorm.

[Dave_L]

Red. A million would make my life pretty smooth sailing.

[DavieD55]

Red

[asmo]

Green.. I didn't have the million before, so there is no risk in trying for 100m.

[Bailey Guns]

I was going to say green on the premise that nothing changes if I missed it and everything changes if I hit it. But then I read Irving's rationale and I'm gonna have to say, "red". Even very conservatively I can preserve the $1M and still make $30k to $50k a year to live on without doing anything. If I tried I'm sure I could do WAY better than that.

[lex137]

Red for me, some is better than none. I would like to hit the green, but couldn't miss out on a mill.

[thedave1164]

What if I am color blind?

[Zundfolge]

What if I am color blind?

Then press the brown one.

[generalmeow]

Green. Easy come, easy go.

[cfortune]

The people answering green, would you still take that chance if it were phrased a little different? Would you give up $1,000,000 for a 50% chance to get $100,000,000?

You technically have the $1,000,000 already since its a sure thing.



I'd go red for sure.

[kidicarus13]

I'm not greedy, give me red.

[sniper7]

Can we hit them simultaneously?
I'd want more than anything to hit green, but red would be the way to go

[wctriumph]

RED

I'm not so lucky, especially with a last name of Murphy!


TEA

III

[sturn18]

The people answering green, would you still take that chance if it were phrased a little different? Would you give up $1,000,000 for a 50% chance to get $100,000,000?

You technically have the $1,000,000 already since its a sure thing.

This makes it a completely different question. If you already have $1MM, then you know either;

1. How hard it is to make $1MM, in which case you press red to keep your money

or

2. How easy it is to make $1MM, in which case you press green knowing that you can make your big gamble back easily.

This is a question of perspective, not a question of risk aversion.

I would push the red button. For most of us who didn't grow up wealthy, it is really really hard to make that much money in one lump sum.

[cstone]

Red for me. Besides it's only $670,000 after the Uncle and Hick take their cut. [Coffee]

[ray1970]

Red for sure.

A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.

[BuffCyclist]

In all honesty, I would hit the Red.

Could I use $100 Million? Maybe, though I'm not sure what I'd spend it all on. But $1M would easily pay off my house and set my future kids up for college education, and the rest would be invested. Even if I had $100M, I wouldn't quit my job because I whole heartedly and truly LOVE what I do. If I were stuck in a dead end job, or one that I hated going to on a daily basis, I might be more inclined to go big and attempt the $100M.

Then again, with that thinking, since I wouldn't quit my job because I LOVE what I do, whether I won $1M or $100M, my life wouldn't change all that much in either scenario.

Besides, something else that has a 50/50 chance: inserting anything into a USB port. There is a 50/50 chance you'll get it in the correct way and yet 90% of the time, its backwards.

[ray1970]

Besides, something else that has a 50/50 chance: inserting anything into a USB port. There is a 50/50 chance you'll get it in the correct way and yet 90% of the time, its backwards.

Good to know I'm not the only one with that USB issue.

[Ronin13]

I've never seen $1Million in person before- so I'd press red... I also like to live dangerously (in Austin Powers voice)

[Gman]

I'll take the Mil. Then only 1 of us has to work. I'll be the house husband.

[hghclsswhitetrsh]

I'd easily spend 200k on cocaine and strippers, then id buy a couple convertibles, some guns, a house, a nose job, and be back to square one. Come on big money no whammy!

[Irving]

Besides, something else that has a 50/50 chance: inserting anything into a USB port. There is a 50/50 chance you'll get it in the correct way and yet 90% of the time, its backwards.

I was thinking about this when I first posted, but couldn't remember who started that thread. Same thing with my poorly cut key for my car. One way it turns, one way it doesn't. I get the wrong way about 80% of the time.

[OtterbatHellcat]

I read this earlier, and was leaning one way....didn't post. Looked again, didn't post.

Shit luck and all that considered.......

Green.

[Squeeze]

Green for me. Not because i like to gamble but rather it would be a bonus if i won and a "oh well" if i lost.

Yeah, I'm with you on this one. I'm broke as it is, no love lossed if I lose. But if I win, I'd spend enough on cool toys to give Feinstein a massive coronary.

[rockhound]

red red red,

[cofi]

How low would that red number have to be before you guys started clicking green?

[BuffCyclist]

How low would that red number have to be before you guys started clicking green?

Or how high the green, because even $100M is a TON of money for most people.

[ZERO THEORY]

Red for sure.

A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.

This. I've got some money woes currently, and since I'm not waiting on Obama to solve all of my problems for me, I'd take the responsible and sure path to getting my books back in the black.

[Shootersfab]

red for sure!