Originally Posted by
Brock Landers
Warning: I have thought about this issue a lot, and this post is going to be long-winded. Proceed at your own risk.
In my opinion there are several reasons why this is a bad idea. It goes without saying that this system would favor conservative candidates at the moment, but in my view it also presents a serious risk of backfiring on the GOP.
1. From a conservative perspective, this is a short term fix to a long term problem. The talk of the 2012 election has been how the GOP needs to reach out and attract minorities since the non-white population is growing much faster than the electorate as a whole. Tying EVs to Congressional districts would further alienate urban (read: minority) voters by arbitrarily decreasing their voting power. In addition, the only reason this change would benefit the GOP at all is because the 2010 election put the party in control of redistricting after the census. The election in 2020 will be a Presidential election and will likely attract much larger Democratic turnout than the 2010 midterms. It’s also worth running that if Hillary runs and wins in 2016, she will be the incumbent that year. This system would be a disaster for Republicans if Democrats control redistricting after a landslide.
2. It’s highly likely that changing to this system would not last long and would only speed up a transition towards electing the President via popular vote. Al Gore winning the popular vote in 2000 but losing the election is one thing, but if this system had been in place in 2012, Romney would have won the election despite losing by four percentage points. I don’t see Americans being willing to put up with a system where you can win the popular vote that handily and still lose. This personally doesn’t bother me that much because I think popular vote is a much fairer system, but I digress…
3. It would be illegal. Tying votes to gerrymandered Congressional districts would blatantly disenfranchise minority voters and violate the Voting Rights Act. The GOP is already being shit on (fairly or not) for voter suppression, and this would add serious fuel to that fire.
4. I really feel that making this change would be morally wrong. It’s okay to disagree with someone politically and even disregard their opinion, but I just can’t see a justification for having Person A’s vote be worth more than Person B’s. The inequity of this format would be apparent, and it would be a big stain on our democratic process. The negative PR would be even more harmful for the GOP if the only states doing this were swing states controlled by Republicans.
Despite the fact that I think this would be an atrocious idea, I like the fact that it’s inspiring debate about the electoral system. As I noted above, I really think popular vote is the fairest system when it comes to electing the President. It makes no sense to me that Presidential candidates do an extensive tour of swing states while basically ignoring the rest of the country. Further, the small town guy in Wyoming (or the flaming San Fran liberal, for that matter) doesn’t really have much incentive to make it to the polls when he knows the statewide result is predetermined. There is no reason to have Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and a few other swing states deciding every election and getting all the campaign attention. It may be an unrealistic fantasy but I would like to see Obama campaigning in small town Mississippi and Romney going to major cities. That may seem crazy but it would be a lot more likely if they were forced to fight for every vote, regardless of geographic location.