https://mirtactical.com/airsoft/asg-...ght-protector/
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https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/
Decent video feeds there.
Not sure I would have a State of the Union address with Putin declaring a nuclear readiness alert.
Hitting the Capitol Building with a nuclear cruise missile is not so far fetched. Some general or admiral of our military would have to retaliate in equal measure. After what I have seen this past week, I don't believe this scenario to be absurd.
Politics is 99% posturing, 1% action.
Russia isn't ready to be a sea of glass at this point.
They did grossly underestimate the Ukrainian and international response. Now, Putin slightly fears other countries joining in to Defend Ukraine or even an invasion of allied countries to himself. So he's raising the "alarm" (just like the US, they are already ready, so it's like a fake job promotion title) merely to try to make 3rd parties hesitate from participation.
EMP is possibly a more significant concern. It would be... hard to estimate how the world would respond to an EMP - we would suffer devastating damage, but nobody wants to be the one to start an outright nuclear war either. It would likely lead to declarations of war at the least and conventional attacks which is why Putin is still, 95% most likely, not ever going to employ it.
Outright Nukes though? Little question that Russia would "get fucked" and Putin knows it.
How does an EMP affect an electric vehicle?
In some ways I welcome an EMP. However I think the whole EMP scare is over hyped. I would imagine we would be looking at localized events not World or even Nationwide. Vehicles, equipment, electronics stored in metal buildings or buildings that contain significant amounts of concrete/metal are unlikely to be damaged. Everyone with a steel building or pole barn basically has a faraday cage. I assume all of the power grid components out in the open will be screwed.
If the vehicle was plugged in? Wouldn't work anymore. If the vehicle wasn't? Probably be fine. Vehicles fair fairly decently in EMP - semi shielded if you will, although modern stuff has really not been tested.
Also small things are immune btw. Flash drives, USB sticks, cell phones. Even laptops...are relatively well off.
If an EMP were properly deployed, things that have decently long cable runs would be f'ed over a broad area if they don't have protection built in. Like - continent sized area of effect with a proper HEMP. The entire grid would be down for a long, long time, most likely (transformers are not readily replaced en mass), and it would almost certainly result in formal war which is why it won't be employed - at least, at that level.
An old spy satellite colliding with a SpaceX array satellite moved over Ukraine could kill all satellite based communications if enough space debris is created. Crippling western economic sectors dependant on inet communications
Anti-satellite warfare is a distinct asymmetric possibility. We know they can do it. They have the missile technology.
I don't think our response would be significant nobody wants a graveyard in low earth orbit and we don't want to go to war over that either... But, Russia could not be absolutely assured as to what our response would be.
Pravda is the government owned press of Russia. They publish some crazy stuff. Below is a link from 14JAN22.
https://english.pravda.ru/news/world...ian_submarine/
I hope Ukraine shoves a stick up Russias ass and can make it through this, however unlikely.
"Hey, should I tell them to go fuck themselves ?"........that was freaking awesome.
Let's hope this isn't a precursor to WWIII, seems it could easily become so.
I'm not saying it is going to happen, but I don't like the timing of Putin's timing of the invasion of Ukraine. Secretary Perry was concerned we could blunder into a nuclear war.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUuOskX3z7U&t=309s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUBY6bMZn8w
This whole thing is weird.
Did Putin and his Generals really underestimate Ukraine this bad? I mean, everyone thought they'd fall immediately. But big bad Russia couldn't even roll through Ukraine after a month free reign to build forces on Ukraine's border on 3 sides? From land, air and sea? I mean, they started like 100 miles from the freaking capital with a massive build up and still can't get there.
Now Putin is stuck. He CAN'T lose. I mean, what an embarrassment to fail at an invasion with literally all odds in his favor. So, the question is, how far does he go to wrap this up? The more Ukraine slows his forces down, the more drastic his response will be. He's not just going to let them slug it out for however long it takes, is he?
It is a lose/lose for Putin either way which makes it unpredictable. Russian soldiers thought all the Ukraine stuff was BS western propaganda...
Until they got drafted. We've been hacking their websites, now shutting out their credit cards, shit is getting real for the average Russian citizen, win or lose, most will come to realize the state media is pumping bullshit.
We also have the ability. Not sure anybody wants to surround the planet with debris.
Putin feared a unified Europe. He's basically created a self-fulfilling prophecy by his advances on Ukraine. I hope the situation gets bad enough that the Russian people throw the bum out, but they've been controlled by fear their entire lives.
ETA: This conflict has made a couple of things more clear to me about Russia's capability. They don't seem to be able to fight well at night and their air power is overrated.
I still hope that Ukraine bleeds Russia terribly in this attack and they pay dearly for it.
So why did he do it? That's what's weird about this. Putin isn't dumb. Why start a lose/lose invasion? Either he underestimated Ukraine's defenses (not likely IMO) or there is a different end goal then we all think that makes this worth it.
Either way, I hope US military leaders take a break from woke training and rooting out white supremacy to spend some time studying Russian tactics and capabilities here. It's been a long time since we've had a solid chance to have such a good look at what they can/can't do. Wishful thinking probably.
I think he underestimated the world response. The world did (mostly) nothing the first two times (Georgia, Crimea). All the sudden, the world has flipped the table over and is sending NATO equipment, cutting RU off from everything, hacking their websites, and doing the polar opposite of prior historical response. And NATO is now massively ramping up defense spending and many other countries will likely join (Finland, Sweden). What's he going to do, turn Russia into glass?
But of course, Ukraine is a bit more of a bit than what he had previously pushed for. He made a massive miscalculation and Russia is still very likely to win if they trudge through it, but the cost will end up being too high and they won't be able to keep it forever.
On the other hand, Russia is a slowly dying empire. Population losses, economy, the works, it's a try-or-die type of deal in the long term in Putins mind potentially. Which also makes them more unpredictable. If they fail here, it seals the fate of the Russian empire. Maybe not today, but within 50 years, it'll cease to be a world player in any accord and cease being "Russia". It'll just be "that cold place that exports raw materials."
I think he has lost it mentally at age 69. I also think he wants to use nuclear weapons and will not de-escalate. The recent turn of events is very dangerous. Putin is looking for a reason to go nuclear. He will "make shit up" so to speak. What we have now is a sociopath with nuclear weapons.
He will justify to his people the use of nuclear weapons to save "The Sons of Russia" who are mostly conscripts paid $30 a month. If he does use nuclear weapons, we can probably expect martial law. I also expect hidden "terror cells" to sabotage infrastructure in the US and around the world.
Even if they did, based on what we're seeing in Ukraine 95% of their ICBMs would either have failed cores, failed propellant, or get lost in the Atlantic ocean.
The state of their military is really much worse than what they have been projecting. I suspect they keep their submarines in better shape so this is somewhat tongue in cheek, but even though Putin is in ways, trying to do a last stand, a Napoleonic legacy, I don't think he wants his legacy to be removing all people of Russian heritage (including himself) entirely from the gene pool. Can't absolutely rule it out, but it is exceedingly unlikely.
PS: Nuclear winter is actually a propaganda plant by the KBG in America. It doesn't exist. The world has already had more than 2,000 nuclear weapons detonated upon it, and all the nukes combined pale in comparison to natural forces like Krakatoa. That is not to imply that millions, or even hundreds of millions of people wouldn't die in a nuclear war, but anyone with knowledge of it (e.g. Russia) would have to realize that while they could make us suffer immensely, as nations and a world, we'd survive just fine, albeit missing a good chunk of population and with decades of rebuilding to do. (not underestimating the damage, just being terse).
Russia though, would not survive, as it would be on the receiving end of a much better maintained, larger, international contingent of nukes. So in truth, it's a deterrent, but it is not an offense option for Russia even if Putin is mildly crazy.
Apparently, they murdered the AN-225. Based on that alone, the Rooskies can die in a fire. While underwater. With cancer.
My dad died from multiple myeloma in 2004. In 1965 he returned from a year at Johnson Atoll. He came back with beta burns all over his body. The US Air Force was conducting nuclear Anti Satellite (ASAT) operations on Soviet satellites. There was an accident that was not publicized. The .mil does not always disclose this kind of data. Nuclear fallout and weapons grade plutonium/uranium is some of the most toxic material on the planet. 50 micrograms of weapons grade plutonium in your lungs is a death sentence.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Program_437
https://media.defense.gov/2017/Nov/2..._DOWN_STAR.PDF
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Johnston_Atoll
So, am I too late to put a bomb shelter in my backyard?
No one's concerned about Belarus, joining the russians. As well as them asking for their nuclear weapons back?
Interesting if true. Helps to explain the russians lack of progress.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...346220038.html
The other thing is, in our minds we sort of have this cartoon-ish picture of a desk with a big red button on it and when the dictator presses the button, all the missiles are launched.
But it doesn't really work that way. Putin (or Biden, for that matter) can give orders but those orders still have to be carried out by real, flesh-and-blood human beings. So the question is not "will Putin order missiles to be launched", because whether he does or not, the real question is "will the soldiers, sailors and airmen who receive those orders, carry them out if they know it means they and their own families will likely be annihilated?"
EDITED TO ADD: Although Putin has of course surrounded himself with loyal "yes men" (like all dictators do), it would not be tough to imagine that if he went full General Jack D. Ripper, those flunkies might decide that Putin needs a "vacation."
RE: Sign photoshop
You are right. Middle arrow is faded on the side from poor use of a clone stamp tool. Poor job of color matching the text.
Also zero chance "sign guys" can just shit out and install new signs everywhere in 2 days while in combat. I am sure it is like CDOT here, sign positions are a full time occupation and they slowly service the entire city/county/state (or country) in Ukraine's context. It would take several years before a significant fraction could be replaced.
But, I think most of us are amused, not condemning. If it keeps their spirits up, more power to them.
Yeah, the sign joke is amusing. That's it. Totally unrealistic. Ukraine is bigger than TX and they're a bit pre-....
occupied.
I can only hope that there are sane people in Russia that can make Putin and his cronies 'go away'.
I saw some city of Aurora workers changing out a single street sign. There were three of them working on it. I passed by two and a half hours later and they had successfully removed the old sign.
While I don?t know anything about the work ethics of the people of Ukraine, even trying to take down the street signs while their country is under siege would be all but impossible.
The doctored sign is still funny though.
Attachment 89659
I had heard that the AN-225 was damaged during an attack but they were going to repair it? We shall see, either way, yes, fire underwater, cancer.
This was the only one built, it used to fly into DIA to pick-up 'stuff'. I saw it once and only because of the sound it made. Cool plane!
Ukraine says they'll rebuild it and make Russia pay for it. We'll see.
It has been in and out of DIA to pick up rockets for Lockheed Martin.
Gotta love the Ukraine spirit!
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/hCyM0pbjQpw