This has always kind of irked me... because I believe there's no such thing as price gouging in a free market.
Hypothetical - you've got a million rounds of 9mm you bought at a nickel a round ($50k invested). You've been selling it for $60/1000, and even though your replacement costs for the ammo have risen to a dime a round (this is actually a milder scenario than what's actually happened in the past year), you keep the price static to reflect your "basis cost". Everyone freaks out gobbling it up, you sell out, and wind up with $60,000... $10,000 profit! You're the hero of the gun boards for not being a "price gouger". Nice.
But now you're out of ammo, so you need to restock to stay in business. You've got to pay self-employment and income tax on the $10,000 profit, so your $10,000 gross profit is down to $6,000 or so net profit.
You've got $56,000, which will now only buy you 560k of 9mm... You spend $56,000 restocking your 9mm, but now you're tapped out, have 56% the inventory you had, and are playing a losing game, because people are going to straight up murder or vilify you as a "price gouger" when you up your price to $110/1000 (no extra profit, just covering your increased costs). If replacement inventory prices continue up, and you don't raise prices to reflect replacement costs, you're further screwed with each cycle.
Price has to increase to reflect increased stock replacement costs, and reduced or static supply in the face of increasing demand, regardless of the basis cost of the inventory being sold. If supply is tight, you can't get more inventory to meet demand, so must charge more for what inventory you DO have, and can get in, to maintain a consistent level of cashflow and stay in business.
Any money you make on the way up will level out with your losses if the price of your replacement inventory actually goes down, and/or demand drops sharply. The market won't care that you had to pay a dime a round if 9mm's moving at a nickel a round again, and the market has no memory, so the guy just getting into the game after such a price drop will happily buy at a nickel and sell for $60/1000 again, and your inventory won't be moving unless you price-match... although you were forced to pay $100/1000 just to buy it during the bad times.



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