Thanks for the other possible places to look.
First, I was loading to 2.800. I don't know where the lands are, I tried the dowel method (dowel down bore to face of bolt, mark with knife, put loosely sized neck/bullet in chamber, slowly slide bolt forward but don't lock, put dowel down bore again and mark with knife) but when I did that I was getting almost exactly 2.8" and I did it a good dozen times. So either I wasn't doing it right, or the distance truly is 2.8 in which case I should have more than enough room before touching the lands.
I was checking the scale with my 20g check weight every time I changed charges and it never varied.
True, I do have IMR-4895 (only other rifle powder) but it is unopened and I just double checked, so the only powder I could have used was IMR-4064.
Yes and no. The box says they are for Standard rifle loads, but that doesn't mean Winchester didn't put magnum primers in a standard box.
I was weighing every charge, not using a powder dropper, so no extra grains made it through.
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I decided I was going to go pull 10rds (38.0-39.6gr) tonight and reprocess/weigh/seat/etc them but then I thought I’d look for a crimp first. Turns out, I did NOT crimp them. I bought the crimp die, thought about using it but then after researching it found that it isn’t necessary for bolt actions (usually) so I decided not to. Some people claimed they saw better accuracy when crimping for their bolts and I thought I could play with it down the road.
Here are 10 loads from this batch (UNcrimped) and one dummy round (CRIMPED). It is obvious the loads I shot today were not crimped. There is a slight ring, but that is from chamfering the outside of the case mouth when I trimmed.
Attachment 43467