Republican party follies

[davsel]

Rallies are exactly votes. Everything else is manipulated and "reported" by the media - who is in bed with Hillary. Polls? Really?
The only numbers that we can be reasonably certain of are primary votes, rally attendance, and registered voters. Trump is breaking all records in each of these. Hillary's numbers are pathetic across the board.
If Trump makes it to Nov 8th, he can't lose.

Guess we'll see what happens in 28 days.

[spqrzilla]

No, rally attendance shows that there are a bunch of people want to see the circus. It does not tell us how many people are going to vote in the general election.

In 2012, I had convinced myself that the polls were undercounting GOP votes. And the last four years of President Romney's administration proves I was right.

[davsel]

I believe the problem has been discovered:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...men-voted.html

[davsel]

Here is an example of how much of a catastrophe Trump's failure really is:
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/fl...rticle/2604323

If you dig a bit deeper into the Washington Examiner article, you'll find the data came from the Florida Division of Elections which includes the following disclaimer in regards to their data:

DISCLAIMER: The Florida Third Party Voter Registration (3PVRO) database is not intended, nor should it be used, as a source for Florida voter registration statistics. The 3PVRO database reflects the cumulative number of voter registration applications submitted by a 3PVRO to the state since the time of a 3PVRO’s registration. Please note that a voter application submitted by a political party does not necessarily translate directly into a voter registered for that party as all 3PVROs must collect and submit registrations regardless of party affiliation.

However, you can look at the early voting data from the same site and get a different picture of what is really going on in Florida:
https://countyballotfiles.elections....ts/PublicStats

[Bailey Guns]

In 2012, I had convinced myself that the polls were undercounting GOP votes. And the last four years of President Romney's administration proves I was right.

You're not the only one. I listened to all the experts like Dick Morris who kept insisting the polls were doing this or that or weren't accurate for one reason or another. Turns out the polls weren't accurate. Obama won bigger than all the polls said he would. I believe the polls this time. I hope I'm wrong...but I think Trump is gonna lose big. Probably by 8 or 10 points. As it stands now, anyway. A lot can happen in 28 days.

[HoneyBadger]

However, you can look at the early voting data from the same site and get a different picture of what is really going on in Florida:
https://countyballotfiles.elections....ts/PublicStats

Ironic and sad that "Gadsden County, FL" is strongly favoring Hillary so far on the early votes.

[Zundfolge]

In 2012, I had convinced myself that the polls were undercounting GOP votes. And the last four years of President Romney's administration proves I was right.

My suspicion is that the polls now and in 2012 WERE undercounting GOP votes ... but that's because they have to rig the polls so that they line up with the rigged election results.

OR, America is dead and full of dumbasses



As for the size of the crowds at the rallies, all those measure is enthusiasm ... an enthusiastic vote for Trump counts just as much as an "oh well I guess I'm voting for Hillary".

[William]

I believe the problem has been discovered:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...men-voted.html

So we need a reverse suffrage movement stat.

[roberth]

My suspicion is that the polls now and in 2012 WERE undercounting GOP votes ... but that's because they have to rig the polls so that they line up with the rigged election results.

OR, America is dead and full of dumbasses

As for the size of the crowds at the rallies, all those measure is enthusiasm ... an enthusiastic vote for Trump counts just as much as an "oh well I guess I'm voting for Hillary".

People don't understand and don't want to understand the value of their natural rights and they'll give their own rights away for the micro-thin veil of security. They don't want to understand because that means they'll be responsible for their own actions and we can't have that now can we.

[davsel]

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016...ublican-party/

Nearly 100,000 Pennsylvania Democrats have switched to Republican since the beginning of the year.

What’s more: The Pennsylvania Republican party says more than 240-thousand new voters have joined the party since last November.

The state Republican party says that the surge in Republican registrations is nearly twice the number of newly registered Republicans compared to both the 2008 and 2012 numbers combined.

The party says the new numbers come from the Pennsylvania Department of State which shows that 97,607 Democrats have actually switched to Republican.

Numbers also show that 38,020 Republicans actually switched to Democrats.