So Jer, what EV do you drive?
You also brought up the differential in price per mile... in cold weather that gap is going to close somewhat, and it's also dependent on what you pay for electricity... I have the misfortune of living in an electricity co-op which is exempted from the power to choose your energy provider. My rate is $20 per meter, plus 10.48 cents/kWh... well above the standard they use to calculate the mpg equivalent of 7 cents/kWh, and I also do not fit in the model you describe of someone who drives 10-15 minutes to commute. All of these contibute to make the ROI not work out for me. If I could choose my power provider, there are some that have free electricity 9pm-6am... ideal for recharging an EV.
I work from home, but when I do drive it's either the 10-15min short trip for errands, or at least 30 minutes if it's big items... Costco is 45min away, work is 75min without traffic (if I leave before 6am). but I maybe go once a month.
Every time I run the numbers based on my reality (electricity rate, how much I drive, etc) It would take > 15 years for an EV to pay off (and that is with new vs new, not the reality where I would buy used and drive the car into the ground doing my own repairs), and by then the mileage is well above average life expectancy of the battery pack... I have a '07 Charger Hemi with 226k miles, never had the valve covers off.. I've had several other passenger cars beyond 200k miles. Only case where I was able to get it to 12.5 years ROI was if I was laid off and had to commute to Dallas 5 days a week- that's with an expected 36,000+ miles per year... how many battery packs, and at what cost would I need for 450,000 miles? (rhetorical, since it's beyond the average life expectancy for any vehicle... I won't believe for a second that EVs are immune to all wear and tear)






