
Originally Posted by
FoxtArt
I am not sure if anyone is capable of predicting and timing a sag. But it will come, at some point. Maybe five months, maybe five years. Even if inventory is tremendously fast moving today, just as in any other market (guns for instance) once the real estate inventory starts inflating a bit, a lot of the demand will also drop, each factor affects the other until a potential spiral occurs because the lack of inventory is causing a lot of the buying pressure in the first place. Even if in normal conditions several months of inventory is a sellers market, in today's market, buyers would start to relax a bit and a lot of others would be holding off anticipating a future crash - the fear in fact, results in the truth.
Same thing with guns - most of the buying pressure on guns during panic season is induced simply by the lack of availability. Once the availability increases, that pressure drops, and the industry hemorrhages from a catastrophic drop in sales, bankruptcies ensure.
That said, I'm not anticipating anything too soon.