Election Predictions

[OgenRwot]

Buck wins by 6

Gardner by at least 10
Tipton by 5
Frazier by 3

GOP takes 67 seats in the House and the Senate ends up 51-49 with the Dems still in the majority...but without Reid.

I think Hickenlooper is going to win but it's going to be very close, I do think that Tom has a chance to surprise but I'm saying it's small, maybe 10% chance to win.

Obviously 1, 2, 5, and 6 are not going to change.

What do you guys think?

[Irving]

How close do you think Prop 101 will come, and what is this "Insurance against 61" that people are supposedly buying?

[trlcavscout]

We've been hosed Tommy, thats what I think.

Gardner and Buck better where their lucky socks tomorrow if we are to have a chance after all the mud slinging.

Hopefully Tom has an ace up his sleeve, otherwise we are really hosed!

I think overall the libs are gonna vote lib again and buy into the latest round of BS promises of hope and change and we are all screwed.

[hurley842002]

I don't have any actual predictions, but the majority of Americans disappointed me in 08, and I am not confident the same people (here in Colorado) have pulled their heads out of their asses for this round. Two of my good friends, who are big time 2A supporters, are for whatever reason voting Hick (tried to explain to me why, but I wasn't hearing it). I'm not saying 2A is or isn't the most important issue, to each their own, seems we have bigger problems at this point in time, but it's people like them, that are making me doubt.

[Irving]

The one positive about this side of the election, is that many of the people who were super excited to elect Dems last year got their prize and are uninterested this year.

[hurley842002]

The one positive about this side of the election, is that many of the people who were super excited to elect Dems last year got their prize and are uninterested this year.

Agreed, and I won't take this where I want to, but i'm willing to bet, there won't be as many Coloradan's voting for Hick, as there were for O. Know what I mean.

[OgenRwot]

Thats exactly why we're going to see good numbers tomorrow. It gets very complex but the polling data is based off of 08 and 06 election turn out. Those were both record years for democrats. This year there is going to be a huge undervote for the Dems. So the polling data we're seeing is skewed a little bit. It could swing our way anywhere from 2-5 points and that's being modest. Even the New York Times is reporting nearly 78 seats for the GOP because of this factor and a few others. That's a little high I think, but their point is well taken. The best part, Nancy Pelosi is probably going to retire. That excites me almost as much as everything else does.

[jscwerve]

Locally I see 60,61, 101 failing horribly because the opponents of them (businesses, banks, unions) have put a ton more money into opposing it than the proponents had to spend.

[Great-Kazoo]

Locally I see 60,61, 101 failing horribly because the opponents of them (businesses, banks, unions) have put a ton more money into opposing it than the proponents had to spend.

absolutely. once i heard who the backers were of Vote NO on the above measures, i was convinced to vote for them. The amount of "FEES" Coloradoans are being hit with in lieu of charging us a Tax is embarrassing. I paid more in registration taxes and FEES to register a trailer than i paid for it!

[funkfool]

what is this "Insurance against 61" that people are supposedly buying?

Hadn't heard of it... more info?