I wouldn't take that bet. But unless or until the GOP fields a better candidate, I'm going to support Paul for the nomination. I don't agree with his stance in several areas either, but most of what he says IS "change I can believe in." Someone who understands the 10th amendment, at least.
He's not running as a third party candidate, he's running for the GOP. I'm hoping he gets the nod. However I bet we'll be left with some crappy candidate who simply panders to the far right wing base to win the nomination, then stands no chance against Obama.
H.