Mayans predict Obama will win 2012

[mcantar18c]

And apparently Allan Lichtman, the guy who's formula has accurately predicted the outcome of every election since Regan's 2nd term, agrees with them.
http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/was...to-win-in-2012

I don't agree with all of the keys (for example #9 should count against Big O), but even by my count it ends up in his favor.
Here's to hoping the formula is wrong this time around.

[Irving]

So before I click on this, it sounds like it's going to tell me that the Republicans are going to fail to put a decent person up for this election.

[mcantar18c]

Yup. Key #13: No charismatic GOP candidate.

Lichtman has 13 Keys that he awards to either the incumbent or challenger party, and whoever gets the majority is likely to win. He's been right for the past 27 years...

[Irving]

I read it after I clicked on it. Interesting. He probably ruined the betting on the election in Vegas though.

[jscwerve]

Eh, so the guy had predicted 4 presidents. Whoop-di-do.

[roberth]

Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. “This administration has been squeaky clean. There’s nothing on scandal,” says Lichtman. Another Obama win.

Thank you Pravda and Izvestiya.

I predict Obama will win. Too many people are dependent on the government for their livelihood.

The GOP will put up Romney or Perry, both are socialist RINOs, Romney is to the left of Perry and Perry is a crony capitalist like Obama. The only reason to vote for either is the Supreme Court selection, but they'll each put up a moderate constitutionalist, not a strict one like we need.

[Delfuego]

Eh, so the guy had predicted 4 presidents. Whoop-di-do.

He needed a formula for this???

Q: When do Christians believe in Mayan anything?

A: When it suit their hopes or opinions.

[Bailey Guns]

I predict I'll consider eating my gun if the Mayans are right...

[Mtn.man]

The Aliens (considered Gods) will return and cleanse the earth of all liberals, evil, weak, and narrcisitic types and leave only the Gun Toting strong to refurbish the earth and take care of it. old mtnman proverb.

[Zundfolge]

I see some flaws in his calculations.

#2 ... this may change as there are rumors that some higher ups in the DNC are unhappy with Barry and may primary challenge him.
#4 ... sorry, a 3rd party would HELP him not hurt him as a 3rd party at this point would split the conservative vote.
#5 ... is this guy on drugs? The short term economy is in the shitter. minus for O-boy
#7 ... the major changes (aka "fundamental transformation") have caused MAJOR backlash against this pres ... probably more than ever before. Stimulus, QE1 & 2 (and probably 3) and Obamacare are millstones around his neck.
#8 ... this is coming and coming hard and fast (by the end of October we'll be longing for the peaceful days of the Viet Nam war).
#9 ... Fast & Furious and Solendra are both heating up. By election time these will eclipse Monica Lowinski and maybe even Watergate.
#13 ... too soon to tell since we don't know who the GOP candidate is.


So overall I think this is a lot of wishful thinking on Lichtman's part. I predict he'll have his first loss with this pick (and if not, we'll be embroiled in civil war within a couple years and it won't matter).