unless you are a licensed locksmith, you will have a hard time explaining to a cop why you have a lockpick set.

I use them at work, i've made bump keys and they are far faster than any picking usually.

I know a locksmith that can duplicate those keys, we use them at work.

If someone wants in they'll get in, however bump keying a lock leaves no trace of forced entry, and since it looks like you left your front door unlocked, the insurance company will probly not cover the theft because you did not take reasonable measures to secure your property. If someone breaks your window, they will probably cover you.