The polling numbers you are seeing show Obama tied or barely ahead ... after drastically oversampling Democrats.
Obama is not currently winning the election. The media is intentionally putting out bogus polling to try to drag him across the finish line.
You know, that's what all the conservative commentators said the last election. I hope but am not sure it's true. Personally, I think he'll get re-elected. I'm coming to the conclusion that most Americans are idiots.
"It takes considerable knowledge just to realize the extent of your ignorance"