Possible Iran strike this month?

[hollohas]

I was thinking about the "October surprise" comment in another thread which made me think of this. I have been reading that there are rumors of a possible Israel strike on Iran soon.

Here's one story...

http://www.timesofisrael.com/us-isra...trike-on-iran/

The biggest ever multi-nation naval drill was conducted over there last month.

And currently, 3 carrier groups are listed as underway with the 5th fleet. The John C. Stennis returned to the area 4 months early recently. The Stennis is currently listed with the 5th fleet but the Navy published an article today saying it was performing joint drills with the USS George Washington in the Andaman Sea which is in the 7th Fleet's area. So based on that article perhaps only 2 CSG's are actually with the 5th fleet. However, the 5th fleet won't have any less than two CSG's through March though.

Some have suggested Oct 15th as the day because it is a new moon. I don't know what to think but I do know Israel is going to make a move sooner rather than later. It is not their style to sit and wait for their enemies to get the upper hand anymore. BO has not been a supporter of Israel since day one, but him changing his mind and giving Israel the go ahead would certainly be one hell of an October Surprise.

[merl]

Oh yes please, we need another war...

[Zundfolge]

So Obama "inherited" all these financial woes because "Bush started all these expensive wars" ... so vote for me because I just started another expensive war?

I say go for it Barry ... the only two politicians that will be harmed by it are you and Ahmadinejad.

[adamking84]

Oh perfect, i'm supposed to be in Israel on the 2nd for work.

[Sparky]

I am pretty sure Israel could handle Iran all by themselves. I worry about other Muslim countries jumping in.

[hollohas]

So Obama "inherited" all these financial woes because "Bush started all these expensive wars" ... so vote for me because I just started another expensive war?

I say go for it Barry ... the only two politicians that will be harmed by it are you and Ahmadinejad.

I agree with you but here is an portion of the original source article explaining why it might be advantageous for BO.

What does this have to do with Romney's remarks? Were it clearer that the primary Iran option being discussed is this very limited surgical strike, then a U.S. threat of force would be that much more credible. And if it were more credible -- because it seemed like the kind of risk the president is more willing to undertake -- then it would have the added benefit of providing precisely the kind of added leverage that might make diplomacy more successful. In other words, the public contemplation of a more limited, doable mission provides more leverage than the threat of even more robust action that is less likely to happen.

With that in mind, and given the progress that the Israelis and the administration seem to have made in the past couple of weeks, it may be that the easiest way for the Obama team to defuse Romney's critique on Iran is simply to communicate better what options they are in fact considering. It's not the size of the threatened attack, but the likelihood that it will actually be made, that makes a military threat a useful diplomatic tool. And perhaps a political one, too.

[Goodburbon]

I've been hearing the "maybe next month" or "maybe really soon" speculations for the last 4 years.

I won't waste any more of my time wondering. I'll just accept it if it happens, adapt to the higher petroleum prices, and get ready for more work.

[kidicarus13]

I've been hearing the "maybe next month" or "maybe really soon" speculations for the last 4 years.

I won't waste any more of my time wondering. I'll just accept it if it happens, adapt to the higher petroleum prices, and get ready for more work.

My feelings on the economy crashing again/worse/whatever. Tired of hearing about all the speculation.

[SuperiorDG]

So Obama "inherited" all these financial woes because "Bush started all these expensive wars" ... so vote for me because I just started another expensive war?

I say go for it Barry ... the only two politicians that will be harmed by it are you and Ahmadinejad.

I thought if we were in a declared war (not a military campaign) that the Presidency change is put on hold. Is this correct?

[BPTactical]

A US strike could go either way politically. Those that feel Bo is soft on foreign policy could take it that he grew a pair.
The others would see it as war mongering.