How long before the ammo shortage dies down

[Gunner]

What do you all think. I want to be able to run down to wal mart again and know I can at least get .22lr. So when do you all think the crazy will stop

[soldier-of-the-apocalypse]

Looks like never now

[sniper7]

Not happening any time soon. Took 3 years last time for it to get reasonable. Now with that many more new guns sold and new shooters and preppers and hoarders it will be a long long long time.

[gos]

Supply already seems a lot better to me. Bought some .223 at Cabelas last week, and it shipped today, for $0.41/round. Hardly the $0.28 that it was 18 months ago, but still much better pricing than I've seen in a while.

[RCCrawler]

I personally just don't understand it. Ammo companies must be working around the clock pumping out as many rounds as humanly possible, where can it all be going? Are they not producing rounds like they used to? Is there a shortage on raw materials?

[Sawin]

I could get overly analytical about my theory with this, but in short, I think IF the political discourse attacking 2A rights is at a peak right now (God I hope this is the worst of it), we should start to see improved availability within the year... I'll elaborate in a second. However, if further and new legislation or laws are pushed through restricting our rights more and more, it will just keep getting worse as far as the eye can see.

*Now cross your fingers* If nothing changes, or if the political environment lightens up on their anti-2A attacks, fewer "new" ammo hoarders will be joining the equation, more existing ammo hoarders will slow down their ammo purchases, and some of the folks who jumped on the bandwagon out of fear, peer pressure, and persuasion, will begin to liquidate at least some of their stashes....The truth is, it's a big "IF" and one can only hope.

[Cylinder Head]

Not to mention as we wind down things in the sandbox won't there be some decent surplus available?

[jgang]

Much will depend on the vote in the Senate this week.....if the assclowns vote "yea," then the trickle-down effect/message is "more gun control." The fact that it wouldn't pass the house (hopefully) is irrelevant as Americans are a fickle bunch who latch on the the right now and react vice applying reasoned thought. If the Senate votes "nay," I think that may be the beginning of an easing of the pressures in the industry and people will begin to feel a sense that things are calming and that they don't need to hoard as much. Of course, if His Highness invokes some kind of twisted take on executive powers, then the craziness will continue indefinitely. I'm hoping Sawin is right about folks liquidating stashes if things calm down, but, unfortunately, they'll be asking panic prices (as that's what they probably paid) until the retail market prices come down and they discover they're overpriced.....

[Great-Kazoo]

12-18 months before seeing a 'reasonable" supply of ammo. price point?? who knows. As mentioned above, IF the .gov gets any stupider, don't expect to see ammo availability any time soon.
Component mfg's say 6 months to catch up. catch up to previous orders or get in sight the never ending demand for components?

[DavieD55]

It isn't going to die down anytime soon. More and more people are realizing they need ammunition. The shooting sports hasn't been this popular since 1776.