Repost from Flogger's entry to the funny videos thread.
Thought it deserved a spot over here:
The bottom line is IF the R's done split the convention and actually go with Trump. Does one vote for him or not vote. I have know some forum members will be voting for her vaginess. Even before T jumped in.
IMO Trump will pull a Bloomberg once in office. However once again it comes down to SCOTUS nominees. HRC gets elected, 2 possibly 3 judges on the court. Shitcanning every hard fought 2A victory, at the very least.
Trump, by some miracle (one never knows) gets the win. Then we'll only see 1 Liberal nominee, we hope.
The Great Kazoo's Feedback
"when you're happy you enjoy the melody but, when you're broken you understand the lyrics".
It's a no-win election.
If Hillary wins, the country is going to falter under escalating debt and a weak economy. Anti-gun legislation may or may not pass. The court nominees will likely be activists. However, the silver lining is that the economy will crash when she is in office and the damn dems will get hammered politically. Sometimes things need to get bad before they get better. I believe the United States must fall before we can pick ourselves back up again.
If Trump wins, the country is going to falter under escalating debt and a weak economy. Anti-gun legislation may or may not pass. The court nominees may or may not be activists. The guy is a clueless buffoon relating to what it means to be the commander and chief and knows jack shit about foreign policy. The real danger with Trump is that the economy will crash while he is in office and the Republicans will get blamed for it once again.
Anyhow, there is no win to this election; it is a complete cluster fuck.
Last edited by MED; 04-28-2016 at 13:14.
I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them.
Thomas Jefferson
Feedback
Staying home and not voting is for bed-wetting pansies. GET OUT AND VOTE!
Done Deal.
Let the weeping and gnashing begin.
http://election.princeton.edu/2016/0...tter-any-more/
Media types want you to get your knickers in a twist about Indiana. However, the data suggests that it doesn’t matter any more. Rationally speaking, it is probably time to stop writing so much about the Republican race for delegates. Also, a moratorium on “brokered-convention” articles?
Today I write about the PEC delegate snapshot. It is based on data posted here. All polls are current, including Trump +6% in Indiana (n=3 polls). Based on Tuesday’s voting, in which Cruz underperformed polls by a median of 4 percentage points, I will no longer assign a Cruz bonus. Note that Trump overperformed polls by a median of 8 percentage points.
As of today, for recently-unpolled states (NE,WV,OR,WA,MT,NM,SD) I will start using Google Correlate-based estimates. Of those states, Trump is favored in West Virginia (34 delegates) and is near-tied in Oregon and Washington (proportional representation). The rest are Cruz states.
Put through the PEC delegate simulator, the median delegate count is 1333 (interquartile range 1304-1339). The probability of getting to 1237 delegates is 98%:
What if we assume that Trump will lose Indiana? In that case the median drops to 1284 delegates (interquartile range 1278-1287). The probability of getting to 1237 is now 97%...
Last edited by davsel; 04-28-2016 at 14:32.
Listening to Mandy talk about The Donald.
If Trump is the nominee the number 1 reason to vote for him is...........Supreme Court
We do not want Hillary Clinton to pick the next justices on the Supreme Court, if you think you're liberties are limited now just wait until that nefarious harpy gets ahold of the Supreme Court.
With Trump we have a chance at pro-liberty, pro-freedom, pro-Constitution Supreme Court justices and that is better than the ZERO chance with Her Majesty. Even a middle-of-the-road choice by Trump is better than Hillary's leftist, communist, activist, racist, retard justice that thinks they are smarter than our founding fathers.