sure but my point is technological advances aren't always exponential. remember back to the future part 2? the date that marty went to the future was actually just like a month ago, sometime in july 2012. now sure its a movie but much of the world thought life would really be like that, flying cars and all of these ridiculous electrical devices. we have some of that, but really things haven't changed as much as people in the 80s figured they would. after all, computers were on the rise and developments were being made daily. even now small advances are being made but we haven't come near as far as people assumed. sometimes technology is funny in that many advances are made quickly, and then it levels out for many years, sometimes hundreds. there are certain points where the laws of physics and chemistry have to be completely disproven and broken in order to move forward and that doesn't always happen in a short amount of time, no matter how advanced.
plus, things like war can set us back, or move us forward. if a serious world war ever broke out again, with the amount of devastating weapons even small nations have these days, i think scientific discoveries could take a serious hit. as is always the case some advances in military technology would happen but basic scientific research would in many ways be put on hold.
all i am saying is it is a mistake to assume that our development will be exponential.





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